Bobber's Finance Blog

Bobber here. Welcome to my first post! I intend to use this space to share my daily observations and interpretations of news and events. It’s important to note that these are simply my perspectives and should not be considered financial advice. I am not a financial advisor.

With that disclaimer out of the way, let’s get started. Does anyone even blog anymore? I’m getting Xanga vibes – anyone else remember those days? I’m hoping to recapture some of that old-school blogging spirit and share my thoughts, particularly on the financial markets (because, let’s face it, money is interesting!). So, here are some initial thoughts for today:

AI Stocks Stumble, Tariff Uncertainty Still Hold The Market By the Balls

SPY took a hit today mostly from the anxieties surrounding Trump’s unpredictable trade actions. The general consensus is “cautious” as some analysts are even saying we’re officially on what’s known as “recession watch”. However, there were some notable surge in call options 0DTE for prices around $572-$574, suggesting a hopeful quick bounce intraday trade. However, longer-dated put options for June show a hint at some bearish hendgeing activity with a more bearish outlook.

AI Babies Analysis

AI stocks had a significant downturn today despite positive earnings from companies like Marvell Technology, Nvidia and Broadcom. It might have to do with some competitition heating up in China with DeepSeek and Alibaba announcing the launch of their own advanced AI models, which will pose a long-term challenge to the dominance of US based AI companies.

More interest news, Shield AI, an AI poewred autonomy developer, successfully raised a significant amount of funding, showing investor confidence in certain areas. There’s also quite a bit of buzz around Nebius Group as a potentially undervalued AI infrastructure player.

Yesterday’s options activity hinted at some of today’s moves, with bearish put options being picked up for Marvell but long-term bullish bets are being shown for Nevidia.

Big Bets and Risky Plays:

Beyond SPY call options, the market is showing some interesting options activities:

–Long dated calls on Nvidia despite the recent dip.

–Puts on Marvell due to bearish options activity despite positive earnings.

–Calls on the famous Palantir that was originally part of the GME saga is showing bullish options activity suggesting some near-term positive movement, perhaps related to governemnt spending in AI.

–Big bets on MongoDB – despite a negative outlook, there’s a surprisingly large number of call options and perhaps traders are hoping for a surprise announcement or a short squeeze.

Looking Ahead to Tomorrow:
Firstly, key employment data is scheduled for release, and this could significantly impact market sentiment. Secondly, the market will likely continue to react to the earnings report from Marvell Technology, which caused a significant drop in its stock price today. Additionally, Broadcom was scheduled to report earnings after the market closed today, so their report and the subsequent market reaction will be important to watch. Finally, any further news or developments regarding President Trump’s trade policies and tariffs, particularly concerning Canada and Mexico, could continue to drive market volatility.